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Metrics for Evaluating Survivability in Dynamic Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration

机译:动态多属性跨空间探索中评估生存能力的度量标准

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摘要

Survivability engineering is critical for minimizing the impact of disturbances to the operation of space systems. To improve the evaluation of survivability during conceptual design, metrics are proposed for the assessment of survivability as a dynamic, continuous, and path-dependent system property. Two of these metrics, time-weighted average utility loss and threshold availability, are then incorporated into a tradespace study on the survivability of future space tug vehicles to orbital debris. A value-based design approach, dynamic multi-attribute tradespace exploration, is taken to evaluate survivability based on the relationship between stochastic space tug utility trajectories and changing stakeholder expectations across nominal and disturbed environmental states. Results of the tradespace study show that moderate levels of bumper shielding and access to an on-orbit servicing infrastructure benefit space tugs with large exposed cross-sectional areas, whereas active collision avoidance only delivers value to extremely-risk-averse decision-makers. Time-weighted average utility loss and threshold availability are found to be discriminating metrics for navigating survivability tradespaces of thousands of design alternatives.
机译:生存能力工程对于最大程度地减少干扰对太空系统运行的影响至关重要。为了在概念设计过程中改善对生存能力的评估,提出了用于对生存能力进行评估的指标,这些度量是动态,连续且与路径相关的系统属性。然后,将时间加权平均公用事业损失和阈值可用性这两个指标整合到关于未来太空拖船对轨道碎片的生存能力的贸易空间研究中。基于随机空间拖船效用轨迹与名义和受扰环境状态下利益相关者的期望变化之间的关系,采用了基于价值的设计方法(动态多属性贸易空间探索)来评估生存能力。 Tradespace研究的结果表明,适度的保险杠防护和进入轨道维修基础设施的使用对具有较大暴露横截面面积的太空拖船有利,而主动避免碰撞只会给极度规避风险的决策者带来价值。发现时间加权平均公用事业损失和阈值可用性是区分成千上万个设计替代方案的生存性交易空间的指标。

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